Blackpool
FA Cup | Round 2
Dec 7, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Carlisle United

4-1

Bloxham (14'), Fletcher (34', 57'), Banks (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Armstrong (51')
Coverage of the FA Cup Round 2 clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Wigan vs. Blackpool
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in League One
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Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Carlisle
Sunday, December 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Boreham Wood vs. Carlisle
Sunday, December 21 at 4pm in National League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
30.49%24%45.51%
Both teams to score 59.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02%61.98%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02%18.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49%50.51%
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 30.49%
    Carlisle United 45.51%
    Draw 24%
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
2-1 @ 7.34%
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-1 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 45.51%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
gameweek 44
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool

Harris (83')
Dembele (1')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
gameweek 21
Blackpool
3-0
Carlisle
Lyons (22', 22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')

Barclay (5'), Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')