Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
Van Roystadion
OH Leuven

Dender
5 - 0
Leuven

Hrncar (6'), Goncalves (18'), Nsimba (22'), Rodes (28'), Berte (90')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Verstraete (45+3'), Osifo (87')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Dender and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dender

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 4-2 Dender
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Leuven 1-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 3 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dender win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dender win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dender would win this match.

Result
DenderDrawLeuven
38.93% (0.23 0.23)27.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.85% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.215 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.247 -0.25)55.42% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.202 -0.2)76.61% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.012 0.01)27.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.312 -0.31)30.82% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (-0.366 -0.37)67.09% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dender 38.92%
    Leuven 33.85%
    Draw 27.21%
DenderDrawLeuven
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.92%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: Dender vs Leuven

Dender
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Leuven
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 4
Leuven
4-4
Dender
Ikwuemesi (22', 82'), Balikwisha (33'), Schrijvers (39')
Osifo (79')
Berte (3'), Hrncar (57'), Scheidler (74', 90+2')
Kvet (80')
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Leuven
3-2
Dender
Kurucay (30'), Schrijvers (89' pen.), Mijatovic (90+2')
Zeefuik (90'), Schrijvers (90+8')
Berte (9'), Hrncar (39')
Pupe (48'), Goncalves (90+7')
Nov 9, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Dender
1-1
Leuven
Rodes (44')
van Oudenhove (15'), Goncalves (45'), Berte (80'), Kvet (88'), Nsimba (90'), Hrncar (90+3')
Maziz (22')
Kurucay (9'), Verstraete (18')