OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
4 - 4
Dender

Ikwuemesi (22', 82'), Balikwisha (33'), Schrijvers (39')
Osifo (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Berte (3'), Hrncar (57'), Scheidler (74', 90+2')
Kvet (80')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Dender.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Leuven
Sunday, April 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Dender

All competitions
Last Game: Dender 1-1 Standard Liege
Sunday, April 13 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dender had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
LeuvenDrawDender
54.75% (-1.803 -1.8)23.68% (0.724 0.72)21.56% (1.07 1.07)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.733 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (-1.747 -1.75)48.64% (1.738 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-1.61 -1.61)70.76% (1.602 1.6)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-1.276 -1.28)17.64% (1.268 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-2.255 -2.26)48.25% (2.246 2.25)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.079000000000001 0.08)36.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (0.081 0.08)73.77% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 54.75%
    Dender 21.56%
    Draw 23.68%
LeuvenDrawDender
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.467 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 21.56%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Leuven
3-2
Dender
Kurucay (30'), Schrijvers (89' pen.), Mijatovic (90+2')
Zeefuik (90'), Schrijvers (90+8')
Berte (9'), Hrncar (39')
Pupe (48'), Goncalves (90+7')
Nov 9, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Dender
1-1
Leuven
Rodes (44')
van Oudenhove (15'), Goncalves (45'), Berte (80'), Kvet (88'), Nsimba (90'), Hrncar (90+3')
Maziz (22')
Kurucay (9'), Verstraete (18')