Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Dender had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.

Result
Westerlo	Draw	Dender
55.99% ( -0.2)	21.5% ( 0.08)	22.5% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.21% (

-0.22)

37.78% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

-0.24)

60.03% (

0.24)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56% (

-0.14)

13.44% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58% (

-0.27)

40.41% (

0.27)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

-0.02)

30.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-0.03)

66.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Westerlo 55.99%

Dender 22.5%

Draw 21.5%

Westerlo	Draw	Dender
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.99%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.5%