Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Dender had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.