Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
45.87%	24.57%	29.56%

Both teams to score 56.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.21%

45.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89%

68.11%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94%

20.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72%

52.28%

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13%

28.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26%

64.74%

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 45.87%

Nuremberg 29.56%

Draw 24.56%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.56%