Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Dynamo Dresden
40.98% ( 0)	23.67% ( -0.02)	35.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.46% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52% (

0.12)

39.48% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.18% (

0.12)

61.82% (

-0.12)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

0.05)

19.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

0.08)

51.53% (

-0.08)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

0.07)

22.32% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

0.1)

55.79% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.98%

Dynamo Dresden 35.35%

Draw 23.67%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Dynamo Dresden
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.35%