2.Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
Dec 20, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Dynamo Dresden
  • Phil Harres 29' goal
  • Ivan Nekic 51' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Andreas Pauli 5'
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 12'

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 12.00pm
Magdeburg 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Steven Skrzybski

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2025 5.30pm
Dynamo Dresden 2 - 3 Braunschweig
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Vincent Vermeij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 40.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Dynamo Dresden 35.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.46% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 39.48% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 38.18% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 61.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 20.7% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 79.3% ▼ (-0.10)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 48.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 51.53% ▼ (-0.08)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5 77.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 22.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 44.21% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 55.79% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.98%
Draw 23.67%
Dynamo Dresden 35.35%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
Dynamo Dresden
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 35.35%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Dynamo Dresden
Apr 16, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Michael Sollbauer 41' yellowcard
  • Michael Akoto 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Skrzybski 37'
  • yellowcard Julian Korb 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Holstein Kiel
Nov 5, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Dynamo Dresden
  • Lewis Holtby 10' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 65' goal
  • Fabian Reese 66' goal
  • goal Heinz Morschel 32'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 45'
  • yellowcard Christoph Daferner 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robin Becker 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Holstein Kiel
Jun 18, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
Dynamo Dresden
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 30' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Iyoha 45'+1' goal
  • Lion Lauberbach 80' goal
  • yellowcard Jannik Muller 35'
  • redcard Jannik Muller 39'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Petrak 72'
  • yellowcard Sascha Horvath 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dynamo Dresden
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT DDV-Stadion (Dresden)
Holstein Kiel
  • Rene Klingenburg 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ehlers 47' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 79' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Iyoha 15'
  • goal Salih Ozcan 30'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
May 12, 2019 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
Dynamo Dresden
  • Lee Jae-sung 19' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 69' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 77' goal
  • Johannes van den Bergh 79' yellowcard
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dynamo Dresden
Dec 9, 2018 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT DDV-Stadion (Dresden)
Holstein Kiel
  • Jannis Nikolaou 29' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Muhling 8'
  • goal Mathias Honsak 22'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 53'

Form Data

Magdeburg 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Braunschweig 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Kaiserslautern 4 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 Dusseldorf
Dynamo Dresden 2 - 3 Braunschweig
Kaiserslautern 3 - 1 Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden 2 - 1 Dusseldorf
VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden 1 - 2 Nuremberg
Hertha Berlin 2 - 0 Dynamo Dresden