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World Cup

Tahiti national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 3am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Vanuatu national football team

Tahiti
2 - 0
Vanuatu

Spokeyjack (8' og., 8' og.), Mathon (67' pen., 67' pen.)
Degrumelle (43'), Degrumelle (43'), Kaspard (90+4'), Spokeyjack (90+4'), Kaspard (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kaltack (79'), Kaltack (79'), Axiel Ruben (82'), Axiel Ruben (82'), Spokeyjack (88'), Spokeyjack (88')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Tahiti and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tahiti

Last Game: Samoa 0-3 Tahiti
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Vanuatu

Last Game: New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tahiti win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tahiti would win this match.

Result
TahitiDrawVanuatu
71.45% (0.191 0.19)15.34% (-0.243 -0.24)13.2% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.82% (1.277 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.9% (1.411 1.41)24.09% (-1.418 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.27% (1.852 1.85)43.72% (-1.858 -1.86)
Tahiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.98% (0.35599999999999 0.36)6.02% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.06% (1.006 1.01)22.93% (-1.013 -1.01)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (1.098 1.1)31.02% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (1.266 1.27)67.33% (-1.273 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Tahiti 71.45%
    Vanuatu 13.21%
    Draw 15.34%
TahitiDrawVanuatu
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-1 @ 5.68% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 5.25% (-0.395 -0.4)
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.141 0.14)
4-2 @ 3.32% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.132 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.73% (0.032 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.87% (0.13 0.13)
6-1 @ 1.5% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.102 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 71.45%
1-1 @ 6.14% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.87% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 15.34%
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.19% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 13.21%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2022
5pm
Group Stage
Tahiti  
vs.
  Vanuatu