World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Oct 11, 2024 3.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Elijah Just 2' goal
  • Elijah Just 2' goal
  • Chris Wood 67' goal
  • Chris Wood 67' goal
  • Ben Waine 89' goal
  • Ben Waine 89' goal
  • Tyler Bindon 90' yellowcard
  • Tyler Bindon 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matatia Paama 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Matatia Paama 90'+8'

New Zealand vs Tahiti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

Tahiti

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tahiti had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Tahiti win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result

New Zealand 53.38% (-0.08)
Draw 25.46% (+0.14)
Tahiti 21.16% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.17% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.03% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 55.96% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 22.94% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 77.06% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 10.08% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 89.92% (+0.27)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 79% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 21% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 46.22% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 53.77% (+0.40)

Tahiti Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 41.56% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 21.95% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 78.05% (+0.33)

Score analysis

New Zealand 53.37%
Draw 25.45%
Tahiti 21.16%
New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.62% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 10.62% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.73% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.45%
Tahiti
0-1 @ 7.66% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.16%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Mar 27, 2022 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Winston Reid 32' yellowcard
  • Liberato Cacace 51' yellowcard
  • Liberato Cacace 70' goal
  • Alex Greive 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tauhiti Keck 7'
  • yellowcard Mauri Heitaa 27'
  • yellowcard Matatia Paama 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Terai Bremond 90'+5'