/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsamlog.png)
-
Mitch Cooper
7'
-
Mitch Cooper
7'
-
John Alick
36'
-
John Alick
36'
-
John Alick
59'
-
John Alick
59'
-
Bong Kaloros
90'+1'
-
Bong Kaloros
90'+1'
-
Jacques Wanemut
90'+8'
-
Jacques Wanemut
90'+8'
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Nathan Viliamu
54'
-
Nathan Viliamu
54'
-
Harry Chote
61'
-
Harry Chote
61'
Vanuatu vs Samoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
Vanuatu
24.7%
▼
(-0.74)
Draw
22.89%
▼
(-0.52)
Samoa
52.41%
▲
(+1.25)
Both Teams to Score:
58.43%
▲
(+0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.17%
▲
(+1.66)
Under 2.5
41.83%
▼
(-1.66)
Over 3.5
35.77%
▲
(+1.65)
Under 3.5
64.23%
▼
(-1.65)
Over 4.5
18.84%
▲
(+1.23)
Under 4.5
81.16%
▼
(-1.23)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5
69.57%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
30.43%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
33.37%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
66.63%
▼
(-0.36)
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5
83.99%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 0.5
16.01%
▼
(-1.05)
Over 1.5
54.66%
▲
(+1.90)
Under 1.5
45.34%
▼
(-1.90)
Score analysis
Vanuatu
24.7%
Draw
22.88%
Samoa
52.41%
Vanuatu
2-1
@
6.32%
▼
(-0.14)
1-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 24.7%
1-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 24.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▼
(-0.33)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.88%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.88%
Samoa
1-2
@
9.73%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.17)
1-4 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.20)
0-4 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 52.41%
0-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.17)
1-4 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.20)
0-4 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 52.41%