World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2024 at 4am UK

Vanuatu
4 - 1
Samoa

Cooper (7', 7'), Alick (36', 36', 59', 59'), Kaloros (90+1', 90+1')
Wanemut (90+8'), Wanemut (90+8')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Viliamu (54', 54')
Chote (61'), Chote (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vanuatu

Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Samoa

Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Vanuatu	Draw	Samoa
24.7% ( -0.73)	22.89% ( -0.51)	52.41% ( 1.24)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Vanuatu	Draw	Samoa
2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.7%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.41%