World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
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Lisiate Paea He Lotu Feke
43'
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Lisiate Paea He Lotu Feke
43'
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Ulafala Sonasi
45'+1'
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Ulafala Sonasi
45'+1'
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U
120'+2'
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Utu'one Lea'aetoa
120'+2'
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Alex Junior Isaiah Malauulu
57'
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Alex Junior Isaiah Malauulu
57'
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Luke Lui Matai Salisbury
86'
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Luke Lui Matai Salisbury
86'
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L
94'
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Lonokaehu Tuitele
94'
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Jefferson Faamatau
105'+3'
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Jefferson Faamatau
105'+3'
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J
120'+7'
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Jerrymiah Maiava
120'+7'
Tonga vs Samoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Tonga had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-3 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Tonga win it was 2-1 (3.95%).
Result
Tonga
13.95%
Draw
17%
Samoa
69.05%
Both Teams to Score:
59.88%
Goals
Over 2.5
69.12%
Under 2.5
30.88%
Over 3.5
47.76%
Under 3.5
52.24%
Over 4.5
28.71%
Under 4.5
71.29%
Tonga Goals
Over 0.5
65.17%
Under 0.5
34.83%
Over 1.5
28.44%
Under 1.5
71.56%
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5
91.88%
Under 0.5
8.12%
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.49%
Score analysis
Tonga
13.95%
Draw
17%
Samoa
69.05%
Tonga
2-1
@
3.95%
1-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 1.74%
2-0 @ 1.57%
3-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 13.95%
1-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 1.74%
2-0 @ 1.57%
3-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 13.95%
Draw
1-1
@
7.49%
2-2 @ 4.96%
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17%
2-2 @ 4.96%
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17%
Samoa
1-2
@
9.4%
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-3 @ 7.87%
0-3 @ 7.46%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-4 @ 4.94%
0-4 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 4.15%
2-4 @ 2.61%
1-5 @ 2.48%
0-5 @ 2.35%
2-5 @ 1.31%
1-6 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 69.05%
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-3 @ 7.87%
0-3 @ 7.46%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-4 @ 4.94%
0-4 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 4.15%
2-4 @ 2.61%
1-5 @ 2.48%
0-5 @ 2.35%
2-5 @ 1.31%
1-6 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 69.05%