World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
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Sep 5, 2024 11.00pm
1
3
HT :
0
2
FT
J.S. Blatter Football Complex Tuanaimato Field 1
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-
Ngereine Maro
38'
-
Taci Kumsuz
63'
-
Taci Kumsuz
81'
-
Viliami Tikoipau
27'
-
Hemaloto Polovili
39'
-
Hemaloto Polovili
45'+2'
-
Christopher Kefu
79'
Cook Islands vs Tonga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonga win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Cook Islands had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonga win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.78%) and 1-3 (5.63%). The likeliest Cook Islands win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonga would win this match.
Result
Cook Islands
32.51%
▼
(-1.71)
Draw
18.93%
▼
(-0.56)
Tonga
48.55%
▲
(+2.26)
Both Teams to Score:
80%
▲
(+1.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
83.21%
▲
(+1.93)
Under 2.5
16.79%
▼
(-1.93)
Over 3.5
66.63%
▲
(+2.87)
Under 3.5
33.37%
▼
(-2.88)
Over 4.5
47.76%
▲
(+3.21)
Under 4.5
52.23%
▼
(-3.21)
Cook Islands Goals
Over 0.5
87.17%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
12.83%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
60.83%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
39.17%
▼
(-0.69)
Tonga Goals
Over 0.5
91.77%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
8.23%
▼
(-1.27)
Over 1.5
71.22%
▲
(+3.05)
Under 1.5
28.77%
▼
(-3.06)
Score analysis
Cook Islands
32.51%
Draw
18.93%
Tonga
48.55%
Cook Islands
2-1
@
5.56%
▼
(-0.49)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.29)
4-2 @ 2.44%
2-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.35)
1-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.37)
4-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.22)
5-2 @ 1% ▼ (-98.00)
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 32.51%
3-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.29)
4-2 @ 2.44%
2-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.35)
1-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.37)
4-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.22)
5-2 @ 1% ▼ (-98.00)
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 32.51%
Draw
2-2
@
6.94%
▼
(-0.19)
1-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.56)
3-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.18)
4-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.93%
1-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.56)
3-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.18)
4-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.93%
Tonga
1-2
@
6.76%
▼
(-0.27)
2-3 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.32)
1-4 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.31)
3-4 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.25)
2-5 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.26)
1-5 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.23)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.12)
3-5 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.62%
Total : 48.55%
2-3 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.32)
1-4 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.31)
3-4 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.25)
2-5 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.26)
1-5 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.23)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.12)
3-5 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.62%
Total : 48.55%