World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
American Samoa
Sep 6, 2024 3.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT J.S. Blatter Football Complex Tuanaimato Field 1
Samoa
  • Demetrius Frankie Beauchamp 33' yellowcard
  • Demetrius Frankie Beauchamp 33' yellowcard
  • Michael Settle 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Michael Settle 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Austin Kaleopa 56' yellowcard
  • Vaha Tua 56' yellowcard
  • Nicky Vitolio Salapu 58' yellowcard
  • Nicky Vitolio Salapu 58' yellowcard
  • Alton Leiataua 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Dilo Gerard Uanilao Tumua 34'
  • yellowcard Dilo Gerard Uanilao Tumua 34'
  • yellowcard Alex Junior Isaiah Malauulu 49'
  • goal Dilo Gerard Uanilao Tumua 59'
  • goal Dilo Gerard Uanilao Tumua 59'
  • redcard Alton Leiataua 72'
  • redcard Alton Leiataua 72'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Faamatau 85'
  • goal Jarvis Vaai 90'+7'
  • goal Jarvis Vaai 90'+7'

American Samoa vs Samoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

American Samoa

Samoa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for American Samoa had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.94%) and 2-3 (5.31%). The likeliest American Samoa win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

American Samoa 31.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 20.24% ▲ (+0.15)
Samoa 48.3% ▼ (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

74.25% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 23.64% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 56.88% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 3.5 43.11% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 4.5 37.35% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 4.5 62.65% ▲ (+0.80)

American Samoa Goals

Over 0.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 16.76% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 53.29% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 46.7% ▲ (+0.34)

Samoa Goals

Over 0.5 89.2% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 10.8% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 65.17% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 34.83% ▲ (+0.70)

Score analysis

American Samoa 31.46%
Draw 20.24%
Samoa 48.3%
American Samoa
2-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 31.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.24%
Samoa
1-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
2-5 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 48.3%

Form Data