Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw has a probability of 23.45% and a win for Mexico has a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a Mexico win it is 1-0 (6.34%).