World Cup
Jul 6, 2026 1.00am
Mexico City Stadium

Mexico vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

England

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw has a probability of 23.45% and a win for Mexico has a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a Mexico win it is 1-0 (6.34%).

Result

Mexico 21.3% (+0.36)
Draw 23.45%
England 55.25% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.75% (+0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.87% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 24.13% (-0.48)
Over 2.5 51.7% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 48.3% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 29.55% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 70.45% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 17.2% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 82.8% (-0.36)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 23.64% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 76.36% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 7.33% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 92.67% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.13)

England Goals

Over 0.5 81.24% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 18.76% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 51.42% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 48.58% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 25.34% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 74.66% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 10.1% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.9% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Mexico 21.29%
Draw 23.46%
England 55.26%
Mexico
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.53% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.75% (+0.12)
Total : 21.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 23.46%
England
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 9.9% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.98% (+0.09)
Total : 55.26%

Build-up

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