World Cup
Mexico
Jul 6, 2026 2.00am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Mexico City Stadium
England
  • Julián Quiñones 42' goal
  • Raúl Jiménez 69' goal
  • Jorge Sánchez 71' yellowcard
  • Johan Vásquez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 1'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 36'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 38'
  • redcard Jarell Quansah  54'
  • goal Harry Kane  60'
  • yellowcard Marc Guéhi 68'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 72'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson  90'+8'

Mexico vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

England

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 26.54% ▲ (+4.94)
Draw 24.78% ▲ (+1.09)
England 48.71% ▼ (-6.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% ▼ (-1.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.25% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 1.5 25.75% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 2.5 49.6% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 2.5 50.4% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 3.5 28.24% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 71.76% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 4.5 16.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 83.51% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Mexico 18.69% ▲ (+18.70)
Draw 45.52% ▲ (+45.52)
England 35.79% ▲ (+35.79)

Team To Score First

Mexico 33.78% ▲ (+33.78)
No Goal 7.38% ▲ (+7.38)
England 58.84% ▲ (+58.84)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% ▲ (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% ▲ (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% ▲ (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% ▲ (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% ▲ (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% ▲ (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% ▲ (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% ▲ (+72.55)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 27.2% ▲ (+3.58)
Under 1.5 72.8% ▼ (-3.58)
Over 2.5 9.48% ▲ (+2.23)
Under 2.5 90.52% ▼ (-2.22)
Over 3.5 2.82% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 3.5 97.18% ▼ (-1.00)

England Goals

Over 0.5 76.47% ▼ (-4.36)
Under 0.5 23.53% ▲ (+4.36)
Over 1.5 45.57% ▼ (-5.11)
Under 1.5 54.43% ▲ (+5.11)
Over 2.5 21.45% ▼ (-3.22)
Under 2.5 78.55% ▲ (+3.21)
Over 3.5 8.65% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 3.5 91.35% ▲ (+1.05)

Score analysis

Mexico 26.54%
Draw 24.77%
England 48.72%
Mexico
1-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+1.18)
2-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.66)
2-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.98)
3-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.93)
Total : 26.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.31)
0-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.75)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 24.77%
England
0-1 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.79)
0-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-1.04)
1-2 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.91)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▼ (-1.00)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-1.00)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 8.48% ▼ (-1.12)
Total : 48.72%

Form Data

Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador
Czech Republic 0 - 3 Mexico
Mexico 1 - 0 South Korea
Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa
Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia
England 2 - 1 Congo DR
Panama 0 - 2 England
England 0 - 0 Ghana
England 4 - 2 Croatia
England 3 - 0 Costa Rica
England 1 - 0 New Zealand

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