/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog_1.png)
Mexico vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Fimago1063014118-1-68b958d96be02896755260.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Australia has a probability of 28.75% and a draw has a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Australia win is 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).
Result
Mexico
44.6%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
26.65%
▲
(+0.10)
Australia
28.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
49.95%
▼
(-0.30)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.97%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
29.03%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 2.5
45.5%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
54.5%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 3.5
24.4%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
75.6%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 4.5
12.95%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
87.05%
▲
(+0.33)
Mexico Goals
Over 1.5
40.37%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
59.63%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 2.5
16.76%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
83.24%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
5.6%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
94.4%
▲
(+0.17)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5
62.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
37.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
27.9%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
72.1%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 2.5
9.33%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
90.67%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
2.53%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
97.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Mexico
44.6%
Draw
26.65%
Australia
28.75%
Mexico
1-0
@
11.74%
▲
(+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 44.6%
2-1 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 44.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.65%
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.65%
Australia
0-1
@
8.88%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.75%
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.75%
Head to Head
-
Raul Jimenez
69'
-
Raul Jimenez
69'
-
Raul Jimenez
69'
-
Raul Jimenez
69'
-
Cesar Huerta
83'
-
Cesar Huerta
83'
-
Harry Souttar
16'
-
Harry Souttar
16'
-
Mitchell Duke
45'+1'
-
Mitchell Duke
45'+1'
-
Connor Metcalfe
46'
-
Connor Metcalfe
46'
-
Martin Boyle
63'
-
Martin Boyle
63'