International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2026 2.00am
Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez

Panama vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 1 Panama

Mexico

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Panama win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Mexico has a probability of 34.34% and a draw has a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Mexico win is 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

Panama 39.09% (+0.04)
Draw 26.56% (+0.10)
Mexico 34.34% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.38% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 24.62% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 50.84% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 49.16% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 28.41% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 71.59% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 15.86% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 84.14% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Panama 35.9%
Draw 44.21%
Mexico 19.89%

Team To Score First

Panama 55.96% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.77% (+0.12)
Mexico 37.27% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 50.25% (-1.79)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 38.12% (+1.79)
Over 9 39.06% (-1.65)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.16)
Under 9 49.75% (+1.79)
Over 10.5 29.15% (-1.39)
Under 10.5 70.85% (+1.38)

Panama Goals

Over 1.5 38.69% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 61.31% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 15.87% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.13% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.3% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 94.7% (+0.15)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 31.04% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 35.71% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 64.29% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 14.42% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 85.58% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Panama 39.09%
Draw 26.55%
Mexico 34.34%
Panama
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.99% (-0.17)
Total : 39.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.03)
Total : 26.55%
Mexico
0-1 @ 8.14% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.46% (-0.14)
Total : 34.34%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 24, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 3 3
FT Masafi Stadium
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 22, 2024 2.15am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 85' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 85' yellowcard
  • goal Edson Alvarez 40'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 40'
  • goal Julian Quinones 43'
  • goal Julian Quinones 43'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 52'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 52'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 67'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 67'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Masafi Stadium
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 18, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Feb 3, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hector Herrera 46' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 80' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 89'
  • yellowcard Jose Fajardo 90'
  • yellowcard Armando Cooper 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rolando Blackburn 28' goal
  • goal Jesus Corona 76'