International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2026 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez
  • Angel Abdiel Caicedo Vásquez 46' yellowcard
  • Javier Enrique Rivera Castillo 46' yellowcard
  • Abdul Knight 66' yellowcard
  • Héctor Humberto Hurtado Biscanio 66' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Herrera 66' yellowcard
  • Kahiser Lenis 73' yellowcard
  • Luis Yohan Asprilla Caballero 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Rodriguez 57'
  • yellowcard Alexis Gutierrez 57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 57'
  • yellowcard Armando Gonzalez 67'
  • yellowcard Erik Lira 67'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 85'
  • goal Richard Peralta 90'+3' (OG)

Panama vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 1 Panama

Mexico

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Panama 39.12%
Draw 26.56%
Mexico 34.31% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43%
Under 1.5 24.57%
Over 2.5 50.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.48% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.52% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.91% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.09% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Panama 35.9%
Draw 44.21%
Mexico 19.89%

Team To Score First

Panama 55.96%
No Goal 6.76% (-0.01)
Mexico 37.28% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.25%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 38.12%
Over 9 39.06%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 49.75%
Over 10.5 29.15%
Under 10.5 70.85%

Panama Goals

Over 1.5 38.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.25% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.33% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.67% (-0.02)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.04% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.79% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.21% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Panama 39.12%
Draw 26.56%
Mexico 34.31%
Panama
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 5.01% (+0.01)
Total : 39.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.32% (+0.02)
Total : 26.56%
Mexico
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 4.47% (+0.01)
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 24, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 3 3
FT Masafi Stadium
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 8' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 33'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2'
CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 22, 2024 2.15am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 85' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 85' yellowcard
  • goal Edson Alvarez 40'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 40'
  • goal Julian Quinones 43'
  • goal Julian Quinones 43'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 52'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 52'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 67'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 67'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Masafi Stadium
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 18, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Feb 3, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hector Herrera 46' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 80' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 89'
  • yellowcard Jose Fajardo 90'
  • yellowcard Armando Cooper 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rolando Blackburn 28' goal
  • goal Jesus Corona 76'