Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.