International Friendlies
May 23, 2026 3.00am
Soldier Field

Mexico vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 2.00am
Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium

Ghana

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 7.45pm
Germany 2 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw has a probability of 25.89% and a win for Ghana has a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Ghana win it is 0-1 (7.06%).

Result

Mexico 55.25%
Draw 25.89%
Ghana 18.82% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.18% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.47% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 32.53% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 41.71% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.29% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.68% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.32% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Mexico 38.15%
Draw 42.65%
Ghana 19.21%

Team To Score First

Mexico 56.57% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.05% (+0.03)
Ghana 33.38%

Corners

Over 8 30.93%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 57.69%
Over 9 21.62%
Equal 9 9.31%
Under 9 69.07%
Over 10.5 14.57%
Under 10.5 85.43%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 45.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.95% (+0.02)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 50.37% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 49.63% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 18.38% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.62% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.79%
Under 2.5 95.21%
Over 3.5 1.19%
Under 3.5 98.81%

Score analysis

Mexico 55.24%
Draw 25.89%
Ghana 18.82%
Mexico
1-0 @ 15.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.43% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.04% (-0.01)
Total : 55.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.89%
Ghana
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 18.82%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 15, 2023 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Jorge Sanchez 53' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 18'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 18'
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 24'
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 24'