International Friendlies
Jan 25, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Leonardo Zabala 7' yellowcard
  • Juan Sinforiano Godoy Viñales 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Godoy 46' yellowcard
  • Robson Matheus 66' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Chavez 75' yellowcard
  • M. Mamani 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Chávez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramon Juarez 33'
  • yellowcard Ramón Juárez 33'
  • yellowcard Alexis Gutierrez 57'
  • yellowcard German Berterame 57'
  • yellowcard Alexis Gutiérrez 57'
  • yellowcard Germán Berterame 57'
  • yellowcard Denzell Garcia 58'
  • yellowcard Denzell García 58'
  • goal German Berterame 68'
  • goal Germán Berterame 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 74'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 74'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutiérrez 74'

Bolivia vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 1 Panama

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 1.00am
Panama 0 - 1 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.52% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Bolivia 25.2% (-0.04)
Draw 25.52%
Mexico 49.28% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.31% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.74% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 48.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.59% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.67%
Under 3.5 72.33%
Over 4.5 16.01% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.99% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bolivia 19.29%
Draw 47.43%
Mexico 33.28%

Team To Score First

Bolivia 39.32% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.51% (+0.01)
Mexico 53.17%

Corners

Over 8 56.69%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 31.38%
Over 9 44.62%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 43.31%
Over 10.5 33.46%
Under 10.5 66.54%

Bolivia Goals

Over 1.5 26.36% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 73.64% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.29% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 91.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.03)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.66% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.88% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.66%
Under 3.5 92.34%

Score analysis

Bolivia 25.19%
Draw 25.52%
Mexico 49.29%
Bolivia
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.76%
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.51% (-0.03)
Total : 25.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.52%
Mexico
0-1 @ 11.6% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.5% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.65%
Total : 49.29%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2024 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Edson Alvarez 47' goal
  • Efrain Alvarez 47' goal
  • Denzell Garcia 85' yellowcard
  • Denzell Garcia 85' yellowcard
  • Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Saucedo 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando Saucedo 7'
Copa America
Jun 13, 2015 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
  • Gerardo Flores 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Bejarano 33'
  • yellowcard Pablo Escobar 89'