International Friendlies
Jan 25, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivia vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 1 Panama

Mexico

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bolivia has a probability of 28.26% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bolivia win is 1-0 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result

Bolivia 28.26% (+1.38)
Draw 26.79% (+0.61)
Mexico 44.95% (-2.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.07% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.19% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 25.81% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 49.83% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 50.17% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 28.18% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.82% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 16.23% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.77% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bolivia 19.77% (+0.17)
Draw 51.3% (+1.15)
Mexico 28.93% (-1.31)

Team To Score First

Bolivia 42.24% (+3.81)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.13)
Mexico 50.19% (-3.68)

Corners

Over 8 58.56% (+6.17)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.45)
Under 8 29.96% (-5.72)
Over 9 46.79% (+6.05)
Equal 9 11.77% (+0.11)
Under 9 41.44% (-6.17)
Over 10.5 35.73% (+5.46)
Under 10.5 64.27% (-5.47)

Bolivia Goals

Over 1.5 29.65% (+1.34)
Under 1.5 70.35% (-1.35)
Over 2.5 10.4% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 89.6% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 3.17% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.83% (-0.19)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 24.51% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 43.31% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 56.69% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 19.54% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 80.46% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 7.23% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.77% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Bolivia 28.27%
Draw 26.8%
Mexico 44.96%
Bolivia
1-0 @ 8.07% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 6.95% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 4.24% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.34% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 1.73% (+0.17)
Other @ 2.93% (+0.21)
Total : 28.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (+0.59)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.15% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 26.8%
Mexico
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.59)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.10)
Other @ 6.99% (-0.34)
Total : 44.96%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2024 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Edson Alvarez 47' goal
  • Efrain Alvarez 47' goal
  • Denzell Garcia 85' yellowcard
  • Denzell Garcia 85' yellowcard
  • Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Saucedo 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando Saucedo 7'
Copa America
Jun 13, 2015 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
  • Gerardo Flores 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Bejarano 33'
  • yellowcard Pablo Escobar 89'