International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 2.00am
Soldier Field

Mexico vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 0 - 0 Portugal

Belgium

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
USA 2 - 5 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Mexico has a probability of 27.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Mexico win is 1-0 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.57%).

Result

Mexico 27.92% (-0.47)
Draw 25.26% (-0.76)
Belgium 46.82% (+1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.4% (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.89% (+2.15)
Under 1.5 24.11% (-2.15)
Over 2.5 52.32% (+2.86)
Under 2.5 47.68% (-2.86)
Over 3.5 30.7% (+3.08)
Under 3.5 69.3% (-3.05)
Over 4.5 17.75% (+2.39)
Under 4.5 82.25% (-2.38)

First Half Winner

Mexico 25.9% (-0.41)
Draw 40.75% (-0.51)
Belgium 33.35% (+0.92)

Team To Score First

Mexico 43.09% (+0.33)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.75)
Belgium 50.08% (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 44.64% (+2.19)
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.06)
Under 8 43.38% (-2.24)
Over 9 33.63% (+1.97)
Equal 9 11.01% (+0.24)
Under 9 55.36% (-2.19)
Over 10.5 24.3% (+1.61)
Under 10.5 75.7% (-1.61)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 30.45% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 69.55% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 11.02% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 88.98% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 3.34% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 96.66% (-0.41)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% (+1.41)
Under 0.5 23.25% (-1.40)
Over 1.5 45.83% (+2.66)
Under 1.5 54.17% (-2.66)
Over 2.5 21.34% (+2.22)
Under 2.5 78.66% (-2.22)
Over 3.5 8.31% (+1.43)
Under 3.5 91.69% (-1.43)

Score analysis

Mexico 27.92%
Draw 25.27%
Belgium 46.82%
Mexico
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.68)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 2.67% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.24)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.15% (+0.34)
Total : 27.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.50)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.75)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.08)
Total : 25.27%
Belgium
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.72)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.73% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.81% (+0.32)
0-3 @ 4.04% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.98% (+0.23)
Other @ 8.12% (+1.35)
Total : 46.82%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 10, 2017 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT King Baudouin Stadium
  • Eden Hazard 17' goal
  • Laurent Ciman 38' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 55' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 70' goal
  • goal Andres Guardado 39'
  • yellowcard Diego Reyes 52'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 56'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 60'