International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Jorge Sánchez 19' goal
  • Armando González 68' yellowcard
  • Roberto Alvarado 69' yellowcard
  • Israel Reyes 69' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 69' yellowcard
  • Obed Vargas 69' yellowcard
  • Érick Sánchez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 46'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 63'
  • yellowcard Amadou Onana 63'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Doku 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Raskin 63'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 63'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 72'
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 72'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 72'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Stassin 72'
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Stassin 74'

Mexico vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 0 - 0 Portugal

Belgium

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
USA 2 - 5 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 26.11%
Draw 25.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Belgium 47.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 48.69% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.31% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 27.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 72.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.23% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Mexico 24.79%
Draw 41.2%
Belgium 34%

Team To Score First

Mexico 40.57% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8% ▲ (+0.05)
Belgium 51.43% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 42.53%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 45.82%
Over 9 31.98%
Equal 9 10.54%
Under 9 57.47%
Over 10.5 23.17%
Under 10.5 76.83%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 27.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 9.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 76.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 23.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 44.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Mexico 26.09%
Draw 25.97%
Belgium 47.88%
Mexico
1-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.97%
Belgium
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 47.88%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 10, 2017 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT King Baudouin Stadium
  • Eden Hazard 17' goal
  • Laurent Ciman 38' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 55' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 70' goal
  • goal Andres Guardado 39'
  • yellowcard Diego Reyes 52'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 56'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 60'