Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.