International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

USA vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for USA has a probability of 31.7% and a draw has a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest USA win is 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

USA 31.7% (-0.17)
Draw 25.16% (-0.27)
Belgium 43.11% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.01% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.31% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 21.69% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 55.71% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 44.29% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 33.43% (+0.82)
Under 3.5 66.57% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 19.46% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 80.54% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

USA 29.31% (+0.18)
Draw 39.5% (-0.14)
Belgium 31.2% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

USA 44.11% (+0.23)
No Goal 5.91% (-0.21)
Belgium 49.98% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.05% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.52% (-0.02)
Under 8 34.44% (+0.01)
Over 9 44.51% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.53% (-0.03)
Under 9 44.95% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.75% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 65.25% (-0.05)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 35.47% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 64.53% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 14.12% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 85.88% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 4.69% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.31% (-0.10)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 75.64% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 24.36% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 44.93% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 55.07% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 20.83% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 79.17% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 7.96% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 92.04% (-0.44)

Score analysis

USA 31.7%
Draw 25.16%
Belgium 43.12%
USA
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.29% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.09)
Total : 31.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.05% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.02)
Total : 25.16%
Belgium
1-2 @ 9.01% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.63% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.6% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.64% (+0.43)
Total : 43.12%

Head to Head

World Cup
Jul 1, 2014 9.00pm
2
1
ET Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
  • Vincent Kompany 42' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 93' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 105' goal
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 18'
  • goal Julian Green 107'
International Friendlies
May 30, 2013 1.00am
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Geoff Cameron 0' goal
  • Clint Dempsey 0' goal
  • goal Kevin Mirallas 0'
  • goal Christian Benteke 0'
  • goal Marouane Fellaini 0'
World Cup
Jul 13, 1930 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
  • Bart McGhee 23' goal
  • Tom Florie 45' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 69' goal