International Friendlies
Feb 26, 2026 2.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Richard Ledezma 22' goal
  • Armando González 24' goal
  • Alexis Gutiérrez 57' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rodríguez 57' yellowcard
  • Érick Sánchez 58' yellowcard
  • Jesús Gallardo 60' goal
  • Diego Campillo 66' yellowcard
  • José Luis García Montes 66' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Martínez Ayala 66' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutiérrez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Óskar Borgthórsson 63'
  • yellowcard Hans Viktor Gudmundsson 63'
  • yellowcard Hallgrímur Mar Steingrímsson 63'
  • yellowcard Birnir Snaer Ingason 77'
  • yellowcard Daníel Hafsteinsson 85'
  • yellowcard Baldur Kári Helgason 85'

Mexico vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 7.30pm
Bolivia 0 - 1 Mexico

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.74% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Mexico 52.44%
Draw 25.74%
Iceland 21.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.58% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.18% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.82% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.86% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mexico 33.35%
Draw 44.93%
Iceland 21.72%

Team To Score First

Mexico 55.07% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.46% (-0.01)
Iceland 36.47%

Corners

Over 8 45.45%
Equal 8 12.7%
Under 8 41.85%
Over 9 33.7%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 54.55%
Over 10.5 23.76%
Under 10.5 76.24%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 46.36% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.64% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 20.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.77% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.23% (-0.01)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 55.86%
Under 0.5 44.14%
Over 1.5 22.44%
Under 1.5 77.56%
Over 2.5 6.82%
Under 2.5 93.18%
Over 3.5 1.72%
Under 3.5 98.28%

Score analysis

Mexico 52.43%
Draw 25.74%
Iceland 21.81%
Mexico
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 7.64% (+0.01)
Total : 52.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.74%
Iceland
0-1 @ 7.17%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
May 30, 2021 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Hirving Lozano 73' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 78' goal
  • goal Edson Alvarez 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard Birkir Mar Saevarsson 30'
  • yellowcard Sveinn Aron Gudjohnsen 75'