Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Mexico has a probability of 26.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Mexico win is 1-0 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).