Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw has a probability of 19.85% and a win for New Zealand has a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.23%) , while for a New Zealand win it is 0-1 (4.68%).