International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Raymond James Stadium
  • Harry Kane  45'+2' goal

England vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
England 0 - 1 Japan

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 7.00am
New Zealand 4 - 1 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.45% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

England 66.15%
Draw 20.45% ▲ (+0.10)
New Zealand 13.4% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.45% ▼ (-0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 23.96% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 52.45% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 47.55% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 30.8% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 69.2% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 19.83% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 80.17% ▲ (+0.22)

England Goals

Over 1.5 58.98% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 41.02% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 14.92% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 85.08% ▲ (+0.13)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 45.59% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 54.41% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 15.5% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 84.5% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 3.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 96.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 0.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

England 66.15%
Draw 20.46%
New Zealand 13.39%
England
1-0 @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 14.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 66.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 20.46%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 13.39%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2020 8.00pm
Wembley Stadium

Build-up

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