International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Wembley Stadium

England vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Uruguay

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw has a probability of 20.71% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (4.86%).

Result

England 66.22%
Draw 20.71%
Uruguay 13.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84%
Under 1.5 25.16%
Over 2.5 50.45%
Under 2.5 49.55%
Over 3.5 28.39%
Under 3.5 71.61%
Over 4.5 18.06%
Under 4.5 81.94%

First Half Winner

England 46.23%
Draw 37.41%
Uruguay 16.36%

Team To Score First

England 66.46%
No Goal 6.87%
Uruguay 26.67%

Corners

Over 8 52.74%
Equal 8 11.05%
Under 8 36.21%
Over 9 41.9%
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 47.26%
Over 10.5 32.07%
Under 10.5 67.93%

England Goals

Over 1.5 57.68%
Under 1.5 42.32%
Over 2.5 30.66%
Under 2.5 69.34%
Over 3.5 13.44%
Under 3.5 86.56%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 45.32%
Under 0.5 54.68%
Over 1.5 14.76%
Under 1.5 85.24%
Over 2.5 3.45%
Under 2.5 96.55%
Over 3.5 0.73%
Under 3.5 99.27%

Score analysis

England 66.22%
Draw 20.72%
Uruguay 13.07%
England
1-0 @ 13.44%
2-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 13.43%
Total : 66.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.72%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 4.86%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 13.07%

Head to Head

World Cup
Jun 19, 2014 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
  • Diego Godin 9' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Luis Suarez 85' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Gerrard 68'
  • goal Wayne Rooney 75'