Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw has a probability of 20.71% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (4.86%).