Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Chile had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.2%).