International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2026 7.00am
Eden Park

New Zealand vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 6.00am
New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 3.00am
Chile 4 - 2 Cape Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.01% and a win for Chile has a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Chile win it is 0-1 (6.19%).

Result

New Zealand 54.12% (-0.33)
Draw 23.01% (+0.45)
Chile 22.87% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.8% (+0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.81% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 23.19% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 53.94% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 46.06% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 31.67% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 68.33% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 19.43% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 80.57% (+0.92)

First Half Winner

New Zealand 45.74% (-1.92)
Draw 37.85% (+1.11)
Chile 16.41% (+0.83)

Team To Score First

New Zealand 65.56% (-0.61)
No Goal 6.49% (+0.16)
Chile 27.95% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 44.52% (+0.83)
Equal 8 12.04% (+0.14)
Under 8 43.43% (-0.97)
Over 9 33.47% (+0.63)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.21)
Under 9 55.48% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 24.12% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 75.88% (-0.44)

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 51.4% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 48.6% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 26.25% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 73.75% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 11.5% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 88.5% (+0.91)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 43.11% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.87% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.13% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.55% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.45% (-0.05)

Score analysis

New Zealand 54.11%
Draw 23%
Chile 22.87%
New Zealand
1-0 @ 10.49% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 9.08% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.35% (-0.92)
Total : 54.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.49% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
Chile
0-1 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.4% (+0.05)
Total : 22.87%