International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2026 7.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Eden Park
  • Kosta Barbarouses 32' goal
  • Elijah Just 40' goal
  • Jesse Randall 60' goal
  • Callan Elliot 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Thomas 67' yellowcard
  • James McGarry 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Waine 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Waine 71' goal
  • Joe Bell 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 72' yellowcard
  • Andre de Jong 77' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamín Kuscevic 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Cepeda 46'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gutiérrez 46'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 46'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Saavedra 67'
  • goal Gonzalo Tapia 83'

New Zealand vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 6.00am
New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 3.00am
Chile 4 - 2 Cape Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Chile had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.2%).

Result

New Zealand 54.06% (-0.04)
Draw 23.04%
Chile 22.9% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.9%
Under 2.5 46.1%
Over 3.5 31.63%
Under 3.5 68.37%
Over 4.5 19.42% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.58% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

New Zealand 45.74%
Draw 37.85%
Chile 16.41%

Team To Score First

New Zealand 65.54%
No Goal 6.51%
Chile 27.95%

Corners

Over 8 44.48% (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.01)
Under 8 43.47% (+0.07)
Over 9 33.42% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.01)
Under 9 55.52% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 24.07% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 75.93% (+0.04)

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 51.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.62% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 26.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.78% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.47% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.53% (+0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 56.95% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.05% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.49% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 8.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

New Zealand 54.06%
Draw 23.06%
Chile 22.9%
New Zealand
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.31% (-0.01)
Total : 54.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.06%
Chile
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Total : 22.9%