International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Eden Park
  • James McGarry 44' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 46' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 64' yellowcard
  • Callan Elliot 64' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Bayliss 65' yellowcard
  • Joe Bell 79' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 79' yellowcard
  • Andre de Jong 79' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 25'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mahuta 46'
  • yellowcard Tony Miettinen 46'
  • yellowcard Kasper Paananen 46'
  • yellowcard Jaakko Oksanen 46'
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 59'
  • yellowcard Topi Keskinen 67'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 67'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 80'
  • goal Jaakko Oksanen 85'

New Zealand vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.81% and a win for Finland had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 3-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%) , while for a Finland win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

New Zealand 69.11% (-0.24)
Draw 16.81%
Finland 14.07% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.67% (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.62% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 15.38% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 66.22% (+1.52)
Under 2.5 33.78% (-1.51)
Over 3.5 45.62% (+1.61)
Under 3.5 54.38% (-1.58)
Over 4.5 34.11% (+1.29)
Under 4.5 65.89% (-1.29)

First Half Winner

New Zealand 59.64% (+0.33)
Draw 28.39% (-0.13)
Finland 11.97% (-0.19)

Team To Score First

New Zealand 72.51% (+0.64)
No Goal 4.12% (-0.17)
Finland 23.37% (-0.46)

Corners

Over 8 44.85% (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.42% (-0.11)
Under 8 43.73% (+0.44)
Over 9 34.31% (-0.22)
Equal 9 10.54% (-0.13)
Under 9 55.15% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 25.32% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 74.68% (+0.10)

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 68.08% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 31.92% (-0.62)
Over 2.5 45.48% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 54.52% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 27.42% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 72.58% (-0.79)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 44.12% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 55.88% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 18.64% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 81.36% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 6.29% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 93.71% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 1.72% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 98.28% (-0.18)

Score analysis

New Zealand 69.11%
Draw 16.81%
Finland 14.07%
New Zealand
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.59)
2-1 @ 8.23% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.27)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 6.31% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.19)
Other @ 27.13% (+0.74)
Total : 69.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.37% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.05)
Total : 16.81%
Finland
1-2 @ 3.71% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 3.57% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.43% (+0.13)
Total : 14.07%