International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 6.00am
Eden Park

New Zealand vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw has a probability of 16.81% and a win for Finland has a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.5%) , while for a Finland win it is 0-1 (3.69%).

Result

New Zealand 69.32% (-0.07)
Draw 16.81%
Finland 13.85% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.9% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 16.1% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 64.77% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 35.23% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 44.08% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 55.89% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 32.89% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 67.11% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

New Zealand 59.31%
Draw 28.52%
Finland 12.16%

Team To Score First

New Zealand 71.9% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.27% (-0.03)
Finland 23.83%

Corners

Over 8 45.18%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 43.29%
Over 9 34.52%
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 54.82%
Over 10.5 25.41%
Under 10.5 74.59%

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 67.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.51% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 44.57% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.33% (-0.02)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 43.4% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 56.6% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 17.85% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 82.15% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.85% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.55% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.45% (-0.02)

Score analysis

New Zealand 69.32%
Draw 16.81%
Finland 13.86%
New Zealand
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 26.43% (+0.01)
Total : 69.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5%
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.81%
Finland
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.31% (+0.03)
Total : 13.86%