Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Chile had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (9.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%).