/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
-
Tino Livramento
59'
-
Dominic Solanke
59'
-
Jarrod Bowen
59'
-
Lewis Hall
59'
-
James Garner
71'
-
Marcus Rashford
71'
-
Dan Burn
83'
-
Harry Maguire
83'
-
Kaoru Mitoma
23'
-
Koki Ogawa
66'
-
Ayumu Seko
66'
-
Junnosuke Suzuki
71'
-
Ao Tanaka
71'
-
Shuto Machino
80'
-
Yukinari Sugawara
80'
-
Yuito Suzuki
80'
-
Yuito Suzuki
81'
England vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fimago1075276225-1-1-69cc25047bb20126716453.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Ficonsportxalamy-3e21d5m-1-69c56a8db76a1369536006.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Ficonsport-363019-0033-1-69c8efe23681f541951763.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Japan had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
England
51.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
23.79%
▲
(+0.06)
Japan
24.72%
Both Teams to Score:
54.45%
Goals
Over 1.5
77.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
22.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
53.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
46.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
31.91%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
68.06%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
19.12%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
80.88%
▲
(+0.08)
First Half Winner
England
34.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
39.19%
Japan
26.38%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
England
52.76%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
6.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Japan
41.03%
Corners
Over 8
46.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 8
11.36%
Under 8
41.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
36.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
10.66%
Under 9
53.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 10.5
27.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 10.5
72.95%
▼
(-0.01)
England Goals
Over 1.5
49.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
50.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
24.53%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
75.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
10.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
89.93%
▲
(+0.05)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
60.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
39.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
27.75%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
72.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
9.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
90.79%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
2.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
England
51.49%
Draw
23.79%
Japan
24.73%
England
1-0
@
10.05%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 51.49%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 51.49%
Draw
1-1
@
11.27%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.79%
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.79%
Japan
0-1
@
6.55%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.73%
Build-up
How to watch
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Ficonsport-363009-0093-69c6fa9373eb4671321236.jpg)