International Friendlies
England
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
Japan
  • Tino Livramento 59' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 59' yellowcard
  • Jarrod Bowen  59' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 59' yellowcard
  • James Garner 71' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 71' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 23'
  • yellowcard Koki Ogawa 66'
  • yellowcard Ayumu Seko 66'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 71'
  • yellowcard Ao Tanaka 71'
  • yellowcard Shuto Machino 80'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 80'
  • yellowcard Yuito Suzuki 80'
  • yellowcard Yuito Suzuki 81'
  • yellowcard Tsuyoshi Watanabe 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Koki Ogawa 90'+3'

England vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
England 1 - 1 Uruguay

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Scotland 0 - 1 Japan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Japan had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

England 51.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Japan 24.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 46.3% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 31.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 68.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.88% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

England 34.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 39.19%
Japan 26.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

England 52.76% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Japan 41.03%

Corners

Over 8 46.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 41.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 36.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 53.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.01)

England Goals

Over 1.5 49.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 75.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.93% ▲ (+0.05)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 60.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

England 51.49%
Draw 23.79%
Japan 24.73%
England
1-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 51.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.79%
Japan
0-1 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.73%

Form Data

England 1 - 1 Uruguay
Albania 0 - 0 England
Albania 0 - 2 England
England 0 - 0 Serbia
England 2 - 0 Serbia
Latvia 0 - 0 England
Scotland 0 - 1 Japan
Japan 3 - 0 Bolivia
Japan 2 - 0 Ghana
Japan 3 - 2 Brazil
Japan 2 - 2 Paraguay
USA 2 - 0 Japan

Build-up

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