International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Wembley Stadium

England vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
England 1 - 1 Uruguay

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Scotland 0 - 1 Japan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Japan has a probability of 24.72% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).

Result

England 51.49% (-0.94)
Draw 23.79% (+0.26)
Japan 24.72% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 22.8% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 53.77% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 46.2% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 32.01% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 67.99% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 19.19% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 80.81% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

England 34.45% (-0.97)
Draw 39.19% (+0.72)
Japan 26.36% (+0.25)

Team To Score First

England 52.77% (-1.45)
No Goal 6.2% (+0.21)
Japan 41.03% (+1.25)

Corners

Over 8 46.96% (+2.29)
Equal 8 11.36% (+0.03)
Under 8 41.69% (-2.29)
Over 9 36.3% (+2.08)
Equal 9 10.66% (+0.22)
Under 9 53.04% (-2.29)
Over 10.5 27.05% (+1.74)
Under 10.5 72.95% (-1.74)

England Goals

Over 1.5 49.67% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 50.33% (+1.16)
Over 2.5 24.57% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 75.43% (+0.99)
Over 3.5 10.1% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 89.9% (+0.61)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 60.5% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 39.5% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 27.77% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 72.23% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 9.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

England 51.47%
Draw 23.79%
Japan 24.71%
England
1-0 @ 10.03% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.09% (-0.56)
Total : 51.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.05)
Total : 23.79%
Japan
0-1 @ 6.54% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.16% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.83% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.16% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.88% (+0.07)
Total : 24.71%