Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Japan has a probability of 24.72% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).