International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Ibrox Stadium

Scotland vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Scotland has a probability of 30.15% and a draw has a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Scotland win is 2-1 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.04%).

Result

Scotland 30.15% (-0.04)
Draw 22.73%
Japan 47.16% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.72%
Under 2.5 39.28%
Over 3.5 38.97%
Under 3.5 60.99% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 24.6% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 75.4% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Scotland 21.01%
Draw 38.96%
Japan 40.02%

Team To Score First

Scotland 34%
No Goal 4.77%
Japan 61.23%

Corners

Over 8 46.22% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.87% (-0.02)
Under 8 41.91% (+0.02)
Over 9 35.16% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 53.78% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 25.66% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.34% (+0.02)

Scotland Goals

Over 1.5 36.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.91% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.07%
Under 3.5 93.93%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 78.08% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.92% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.84% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.16% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 25.1% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 74.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.74% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Scotland 30.16%
Draw 22.74%
Japan 47.16%
Scotland
2-1 @ 6.77%
1-0 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 1.95%
Other @ 5.79%
Total : 30.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.74%
Japan
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.58%
Other @ 10.46% (+0.03)
Total : 47.16%