Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Haiti win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for New Zealand has a probability of 29.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest New Zealand win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).