International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 5.30pm
BMO Field

Haiti vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 12.00am
Haiti 0 - 1 Tunisia

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Canada 2 - 2 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Haiti win with a probability of 58.7%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 21.95% and a draw has a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Iceland win is 1-2 (5.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.64%).

Result

Haiti 58.7% (+0.16)
Draw 19.4% (+0.05)
Iceland 21.95% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.5% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.21% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 14.79% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 65.95% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 34.05% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 44.25% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 55.75% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 29.76% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 70.24% (-0.25)

Haiti Goals

Over 1.5 61.24% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 38.76% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 36.59% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 63.41% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 18.63% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 81.37% (-0.13)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 57.48% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.52% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.83% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 71.17% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.19% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.81% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Haiti 58.7%
Draw 19.4%
Iceland 21.96%
Haiti
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.63% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.07)
Other @ 18.35% (+0.12)
Total : 58.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.03)
Total : 19.4%
Iceland
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.41% (-0.01)
Total : 21.96%