Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Haiti win with a probability of 58.7%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 21.95% and a draw has a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Iceland win is 1-2 (5.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.64%).