International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Woodensky Pierre 37' yellowcard
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 63' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 63' yellowcard
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 64' yellowcard
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 84' yellowcard
  • Wilguens Paugain 84' yellowcard
  • Carl Sainté 84' yellowcard
  • Carl Sainté 85' yellowcard
  • Wilson Isidor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Andri Fannar Baldursson 46'
  • goal Gylfi Sigurdsson 61'
  • yellowcard Brynjólfur Willumsson 72'
  • yellowcard Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson 73'
  • yellowcard Ísak Jóhannesson 73'
  • yellowcard Brynjólfur Willumsson 74'
  • yellowcard Ísak Jóhannesson 75'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 84'
  • yellowcard Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 84'
  • yellowcard Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 86'

Haiti vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 12.00am
Haiti 0 - 1 Tunisia

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Canada 2 - 2 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (5.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Haiti 56.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 20.15% ▼ (-0.16)
Iceland 23.55% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.9% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.67% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 15.33% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 65% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 2.5 35% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 43.05% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 3.5 56.95% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 4.5 28.32% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 4.5 71.68% ▼ (-0.70)

Haiti Goals

Over 1.5 59.14% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 40.86% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 34.14% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 65.86% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 16.61% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 83.39% ▼ (-0.27)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 59.65% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 40.35% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 30.5% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 69.5% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 12.09% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 87.91% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 4.06% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 95.94% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

Haiti 56.31%
Draw 20.14%
Iceland 23.56%
Haiti
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 16.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 56.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 20.14%
Iceland
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 23.56%