International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
BMO Field

Canada vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 3.30am
Canada 1 - 0 Guatemala

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 2.00am
Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw has a probability of 23.45% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (6.05%).

Result

Canada 60.96% (-0.08)
Draw 23.45%
Iceland 15.52% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.86% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.54% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 29.46% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 45.27%
Under 2.5 54.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.33% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.67% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Canada 44.6%
Draw 38.42%
Iceland 16.97%

Team To Score First

Canada 63.49%
No Goal 8.46%
Iceland 28.05%

Corners

Over 8 55.06% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 33.28% (+0.03)
Over 9 43.43% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 44.94% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.78%
Under 10.5 67.22%

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 51.22% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 48.78% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 25.07% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.93% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 10.06% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.94% (+0.04)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 47.27% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 52.73% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 15.77%
Under 1.5 84.23%
Over 2.5 3.94% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.06% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.88% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Canada 60.96%
Draw 23.44%
Iceland 15.52%
Canada
1-0 @ 14.87% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.23% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.99% (-0.02)
Total : 60.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 23.44%
Iceland
0-1 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 15.52%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 16, 2020 12.00am
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
  • Holmar Orn Eyjolfsson 21' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 62'
International Friendlies
Jan 16, 2020 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park (Irvine, California)
  • Samuel Piette 62' yellowcard
  • goal Holmar Orn Eyjolfsson 21'