Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.15% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.