International Friendlies
Jan 18, 2026 3.00am
BMO Stadium

Canada vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Guatemala

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Guatemala has a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Guatemala win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result

Canada 50.4% (+0.05)
Draw 25.9% (-0.25)
Guatemala 23.65% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.1% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.78% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 31.22% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 42.6% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 57.4% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 21.75% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 78.25% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 11.65% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 88.35% (-0.53)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 42.63% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 57.37% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 18.4% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 81.6% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 6.41% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 93.59% (-0.30)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 55.45% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 44.55% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 21.84% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 78.16% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 6.45% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 93.55% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 1.55% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.45% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Canada 50.39%
Draw 25.9%
Guatemala 23.66%
Canada
1-0 @ 13.62% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 10.18% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.36% (+0.31)
Total : 50.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 3.98% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.9%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.5% (+0.06)
Total : 23.66%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 29, 2025 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 2, 2023 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2022 12.00am