International Friendlies
Jan 18, 2026 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Jeevan Singh Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago de Freitas Guimarães Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Jeevan Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 66' goal
  • Noah Abraham Sewonet Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 70' yellowcard
  • N. Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 81' yellowcard
  • Luka Gavran 81' yellowcard
  • Marius Aiyenero 81' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Mario Rosales Marroquin 46'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dominic Evans Wolff 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Alexander Ramírez López 46'
  • yellowcard Damien Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard J. Rosales 46'
  • yellowcard M. Evans 46'
  • yellowcard K. Ramírez 46'
  • yellowcard D. Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard Jefry Leonardo Bantes Rodriguez 71'
  • yellowcard J. Bantes 71'

Canada vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Guatemala

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.15% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result

Canada 50.2% (-0.20)
Draw 26.15% (+0.25)
Guatemala 23.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.55% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.18% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 31.82% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 41.85% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 58.15% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 21.15% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 78.85% (+0.60)
Over 4.5 11.25% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 88.75% (+0.41)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 42.06% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 57.94% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 17.93% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 82.07% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 6.14% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 93.86% (+0.27)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 55.21% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 44.79% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 21.58% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 78.42% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 6.34% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 93.66% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.52% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.48% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Canada 50.2%
Draw 26.16%
Guatemala 23.65%
Canada
1-0 @ 13.88% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 10.24% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.09% (-0.28)
Total : 50.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.49% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.16%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 8.46% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.47% (-0.04)
Total : 23.65%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 29, 2025 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 2, 2023 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2022 12.00am