World Cup
Gameweek
1
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Mexico vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for South Africa has a probability of 31.9% and a draw has a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest South Africa win is 0-1 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.15%).
Result
Mexico
40.51%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
27.59%
▼
(-0.11)
South Africa
31.9%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
47.29%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.92%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
31.08%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 2.5
43.04%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
56.96%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
21.93%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
78.07%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 4.5
11.4%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
88.6%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Mexico
28.69%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
45.37%
▼
(-0.56)
South Africa
25.94%
▲
(+0.67)
Team To Score First
Mexico
49.43%
▼
(-0.92)
No Goal
9.32%
▼
(-0.08)
South Africa
41.25%
▲
(+0.98)
Corners
Over 8
37.14%
▼
(-0.30)
Equal 8
11.06%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 8
51.8%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 9
27.56%
▼
(-0.24)
Equal 9
9.57%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 9
62.86%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 10.5
19.88%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 10.5
80.12%
▲
(+0.16)
Mexico Goals
Over 1.5
35.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
64.45%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
13.37%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
86.63%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
4.13%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
95.87%
▲
(+0.04)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
63.95%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
36.05%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
29.11%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
70.89%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 2.5
10.51%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
89.49%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
2.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
97.11%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Mexico
40.52%
Draw
27.6%
South Africa
31.89%
Mexico
1-0
@
11.95%
▼
(-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 40.52%
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 40.52%
Draw
1-1
@
13.15%
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.6%
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.6%
South Africa
0-1
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.89%
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.89%
Head to Head
World Cup
-
Siphiwe Tshabalala
55'
-
Rafael Marquez
79'