International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Mexico vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 4.00pm
Cape Verde 3 - 0 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw has a probability of 28.06% and a win for Serbia has a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Serbia win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result

Mexico 50.46% (-0.12)
Draw 28.06% (+0.03)
Serbia 21.52% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.03% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 32.97% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 40.45% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 59.55% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 20.04% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 79.97% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 10.52% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 89.48% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Mexico 36.66% (-0.37)
Draw 45.91% (+0.28)
Serbia 17.43% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Mexico 60.29% (+0.15)
No Goal 10.38% (-0.02)
Serbia 29.33% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 42.21% (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 45.4% (+0.33)
Over 9 31.04% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.03)
Under 9 57.79% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 21.8% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 78.2% (+0.25)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 41.94% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.06% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.35% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.65% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.07% (-0.02)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 54.23% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 45.77% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 19.97% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 80.03% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 5.52% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 94.48% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mexico 50.45%
Draw 28.06%
Serbia 21.52%
Mexico
1-0 @ 14.44% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.73% (+0.02)
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.06%
Serbia
0-1 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.23% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Total : 21.52%