/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
-
Mikel Oyarzabal
16'
-
Mikel Oyarzabal
43'
-
Víctor Muñoz
72'
Spain vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Fimago1066031881-68ba852b14b43016288073.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F06%2Fyamal-8-684200bde4664212159230.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.82% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result
Spain
64.41%
▼
(-0.80)
Draw
21.82%
▲
(+0.68)
Serbia
13.77%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
44.29%
▼
(-0.82)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.5%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 1.5
26.5%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 2.5
49.81%
▼
(-1.25)
Under 2.5
50.2%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 3.5
30.63%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 3.5
69.4%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 4.5
20.07%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 4.5
79.93%
▲
(+0.65)
First Half Winner
Spain
46.42%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
36.84%
▲
(+0.75)
Serbia
16.73%
▼
(-0.34)
Team To Score First
Spain
64.37%
▼
(-0.23)
No Goal
7.76%
▲
(+0.40)
Serbia
27.87%
▼
(-0.17)
Corners
Over 8
55.4%
▼
(-2.08)
Equal 8
11.22%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 8
33.38%
▲
(+1.85)
Over 9
44.18%
▼
(-2.12)
Equal 9
11.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 9
44.6%
▲
(+2.08)
Over 10.5
33.84%
▼
(-1.99)
Under 10.5
66.16%
▲
(+1.99)
Spain Goals
Over 1.5
56.52%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 1.5
43.48%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 2.5
30.88%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 2.5
69.12%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 3.5
14.53%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 3.5
85.47%
▲
(+0.60)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
45.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
54.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
15.62%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
84.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
4.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
95.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
1.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
98.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Spain
64.42%
Draw
21.83%
Serbia
13.77%
Spain
1-0
@
13.48%
▲
(+0.35)
2-0 @ 12.05% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 14.38% ▼ (-0.65)
Total : 64.42%
2-0 @ 12.05% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 14.38% ▼ (-0.65)
Total : 64.42%
Draw
1-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.83%
0-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.83%
Serbia
0-1
@
5.28%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 13.77%
1-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 13.77%
Strahinja Pavlovic
76'