Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.