Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.