Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.56% and a win for Panama had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.