Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.