International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Oswin Appollis 48' goal
  • Relebohile Mofokeng 60' yellowcard
  • Jayden Adams 60' yellowcard
  • Thalente Mbatha 71' yellowcard
  • Evidence Makgopa 72' yellowcard
  • Samukelo Kabini 83' yellowcard
  • Thabang Matuludi 83' yellowcard
  • goal Yoel Bárcenas 23'
  • yellowcard Orlando Mosquera 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gutiérrez 46'
  • yellowcard José Fajardo 65'
  • yellowcard Aníbal Godoy 66'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 74'
  • yellowcard Andrés Andrade 74'

South Africa vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 1.00am
Panama 0 - 1 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 46.13% (+0.04)
Draw 26.81%
Panama 27.06% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.54% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 46.07% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.93% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.41%
Under 3.5 75.62% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.09% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.91% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

South Africa 31.88%
Draw 42.4%
Panama 25.72%

Team To Score First

South Africa 51.06%
No Goal 8.38%
Panama 40.56%

Corners

Over 8 47.21% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.21% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.58% (+0.02)
Over 9 35.77%
Equal 9 11.45% (-0.02)
Under 9 52.79% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 25.89%
Under 10.5 74.11%

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 41.75%
Under 1.5 58.25%
Over 2.5 17.44%
Under 2.5 82.56%
Over 3.5 6.08%
Under 3.5 93.92%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 61.15% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.85% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.35%
Under 3.5 97.65%

Score analysis

South Africa 46.14%
Draw 26.79%
Panama 27.06%
South Africa
1-0 @ 11.9% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.46% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 5.98%
Total : 46.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
Panama
0-1 @ 8.25%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.06%