International Friendlies
May 29, 2026 5.00pm
FNB Stadium

South Africa vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.30pm
South Africa 1 - 2 Panama

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 4.30pm
Russia 3 - 1 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw has a probability of 22.59% and a win for Nicaragua has a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Nicaragua win it is 0-1 (5.73%).

Result

South Africa 63.28% (+0.07)
Draw 22.59% (-0.08)
Nicaragua 14.09% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.79% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 45.76% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 54.24% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 24.45% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.55% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.98% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 85.02% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

South Africa 44.94%
Draw 40.4% (+0.11)
Nicaragua 14.65% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

South Africa 64.22% (+0.18)
No Goal 9.03% (-0.07)
Nicaragua 26.75% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 44.57% (-0.15)
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 43.06% (+0.16)
Over 9 33.22% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.35% (-0.02)
Under 9 55.43% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 23.64% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 76.36% (+0.10)

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 52.81% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 47.19% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 26.43% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.57% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 11.03% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 88.97% (-0.08)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 44.82% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 55.18% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 14.27% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 85.73% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.28%
Under 2.5 96.72%
Over 3.5 0.62%
Under 3.5 99.38%

Score analysis

South Africa 63.28%
Draw 22.59%
Nicaragua 14.08%
South Africa
1-0 @ 14.98% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 12.81% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 10.97% (+0.08)
Total : 63.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 22.59%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.08%