Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.63% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.