International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Lechi Sadulaev 3' goal
  • Kirill Glebov 46' yellowcard
  • K. Tyukavin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Golovin 67' yellowcard
  • Matvey Kislyak 67' yellowcard
  • Anton Mitryushkin 67' yellowcard
  • Ilya Vakhania 67' yellowcard
  • Maksim Petrov 67' yellowcard
  • Georgiy Melkadze 67' yellowcard
  • Maksim Petrov 68' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Golovin 83' goal
  • Dmitri Barinov 83' yellowcard
  • goal Óscar Acevedo 16'
  • yellowcard Josué Quijano 46'
  • yellowcard Bancy Hernández 64'
  • yellowcard Joab Gutiérrez 75'
  • yellowcard Jason Coronel 75'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Moncada 87'
  • yellowcard José Andrés Martínez 87'

Russia vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions

Nicaragua

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.36% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%) , while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Russia 71.98%
Draw 18.36% (-0.02)
Nicaragua 9.68% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.77% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.23% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.69%
Under 2.5 48.31%
Over 3.5 29.98% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.02% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.46% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.54% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Russia 52.58%
Draw 32.86%
Nicaragua 14.56%

Team To Score First

Russia 70.17%
No Goal 7.03% (-0.01)
Nicaragua 22.8% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 42.97% (-0.03)
Over 9 35.03% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.59%
Under 9 54.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 25.94% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.06% (-0.02)

Russia Goals

Over 1.5 61.62% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.38% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 35.24% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 64.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 16.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 83.37% (-0.01)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 38.65% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 61.35% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 11.26%
Under 1.5 88.74%
Over 2.5 2.42% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.49% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.51% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Russia 71.98%
Draw 18.36%
Nicaragua 9.68%
Russia
1-0 @ 14.23%
2-0 @ 13.82%
3-0 @ 9.69% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 16.6% (+0.02)
Total : 71.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.78%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 18.36%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.46% (+0.02)
Total : 9.68%