World Cup Gameweek 1
England
Jun 17, 2026 9.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Dallas Stadium
Croatia
  • Harry Kane  12' goal
  • Harry Kane  42' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 47' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 85' goal
  • goal Martin Baturina 36'
  • goal Petar Musa 45'+5'

England vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
Feature
Feature
Feature

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Croatia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

England 47.5% ▲ (+0.80)
Draw 23.1% ▼ (-0.25)
Croatia 29.4% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.2% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.76% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 18.24% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 60.25% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 2.5 39.75% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 37.95% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 3.5 62.05% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 4.5 23% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 4.5 77% ▼ (-0.68)

England Goals

Over 1.5 50.65% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 1.5 49.35% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 2.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 3.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.55)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 33.45% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 35.26% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 64.74% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 14.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

England 47.5%
Draw 23.11%
Croatia 29.4%
England
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.11%
Croatia
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.4%

Head to Head

European Championship
England
Jun 13, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Croatia
  • Raheem Sterling 57' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 42'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 48'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 66'
Nations League
England
Nov 18, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatia
  • Ross Barkley 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Lingard 78' goal
  • Harry Kane 85' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 57'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 67'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 67'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 89'
Nations League
Croatia
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
England
  • Mateo Kovacic 25' yellowcard
  • Dejan Lovren 45' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 6'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 72'
World Cup
Croatia
Jul 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
1
ET Stadion Luzhniki (Moskva)
England
  • Ivan Perisic 68' goal
  • Mario Mandzukic 109' goal
  • goal Kieran Trippier 5'

Form Data

England 3 - 0 Costa Rica
England 1 - 0 New Zealand
England 0 - 1 Japan
England 1 - 1 Uruguay
Albania 0 - 0 England
Albania 0 - 2 England
Croatia 2 - 1 Slovenia
Croatia 0 - 2 Belgium
Brazil 3 - 1 Croatia
Colombia 1 - 2 Croatia
Montenegro 2 - 3 Croatia
Montenegro 0 - 0 Croatia

Build-up

Feature
News
News
Feature
News