World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2026 9.00pm
Dallas Stadium

England vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Croatia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 29.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

England 46.75% (-0.11)
Draw 23.45% (+0.20)
Croatia 29.8% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.5% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.98% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 19.02% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 59.05% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 40.95% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 36.7% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 63.3% (+0.95)
Over 4.5 21.97% (-0.75)
Under 4.5 78.03% (+0.74)

England Goals

Over 1.5 49.44% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 50.56% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 24.28% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 75.72% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 9.77% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 90.23% (+0.30)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 66.76% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 33.24% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 35.11% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 64.89% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 13.97% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 86.03% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+0.21)

Score analysis

England 46.75%
Draw 23.45%
Croatia 29.82%
England
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 8.07% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.11)
Other @ 9.52% (-0.29)
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.69% (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.03)
Total : 23.45%
Croatia
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.28% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 4.31% (-0.20)
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 13, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Raheem Sterling 57' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 42'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 48'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 66'
Nations League
Nov 18, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Barkley 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Lingard 78' goal
  • Harry Kane 85' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 57'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 67'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 67'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 89'
Nations League
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateo Kovacic 25' yellowcard
  • Dejan Lovren 45' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 6'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 72'
World Cup
Jul 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
1
ET Stadion Luzhniki (Moskva)
  • Ivan Perisic 68' goal
  • Mario Mandzukic 109' goal
  • goal Kieran Trippier 5'

Build-up

News