Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 35.55% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-2 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).