/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
-
Danilo
45'+2'
-
Danilo
61'
-
61'
-
Fabinho
61'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
67'
-
Igor Thiago
67'
-
Kaiki
76'
-
Endrick
76'
-
Rayan
76'
-
Andrey Santos
76'
-
Igor Thiago
88'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
90'+2'
-
Marin Pongracic
60'
-
Nikola Moro
60'
-
Petar Musa
60'
-
Mario Pašalić
60'
-
Nikola Moro
62'
-
Marco Pašalić
69'
-
Lovro Majer
70'
-
Marco Pašalić
71'
-
Ivan Smolcic
82'
-
Toni Fruk
82'
-
Ivan Smolcic
83'
-
Toni Fruk
83'
-
Lovro Majer
84'
Brazil vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fimago1075008429-1-69c65e8a430bd864561061.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result
Brazil
40.1%
Draw
24.35%
▼
(-0.15)
Croatia
35.55%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
56.85%
▲
(+0.65)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.96%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 1.5
22.04%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 2.5
54.6%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 2.5
45.4%
▼
(-0.75)
Over 3.5
32.3%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 3.5
67.7%
▼
(-0.75)
Over 4.5
18.57%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 4.5
81.43%
▼
(-0.56)
Brazil Goals
Over 1.5
41.46%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
58.54%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 2.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
81.87%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
6.48%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
93.52%
▼
(-0.25)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
69.73%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
30.27%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
37.8%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 1.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 2.5
15.85%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
84.15%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
5.5%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
94.5%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Brazil
40.1%
Draw
24.34%
Croatia
35.56%
Brazil
1-0
@
8.53%
▼
(-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 40.1%
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 40.1%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
▼
(-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.34%
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.34%
Croatia
1-2
@
7.89%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 35.56%
0-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 35.56%