International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 1.00am
Camping World Stadium

Brazil vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 8.00pm
Brazil 1 - 2 France

Croatia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 11.30pm
Colombia 1 - 2 Croatia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 35.55% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-2 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Brazil 40.15%
Draw 24.3% (-0.06)
Croatia 35.55% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 21.95% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 54.7% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 45.25% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 32.4% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 67.6% (-0.31)
Over 4.5 18.65% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 81.35% (-0.22)

Brazil Goals

Over 1.5 41.55% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 58.45% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 18.2% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 81.8% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 6.52% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 93.48% (-0.08)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.26% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 37.83% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 62.17% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 15.88% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 84.12% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.51% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.49% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Brazil 40.14%
Draw 24.3%
Croatia 35.56%
Brazil
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.04)
Other @ 6.34% (+0.09)
Total : 40.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
Croatia
1-2 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.33% (+0.05)
Total : 35.56%

Head to Head

World Cup
Dec 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Education City Stadium
  • Bruno Petkovic 117' goal
  • goal Neymar 105'+1'
International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernandinho 40' yellowcard
  • Neymar 69' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 90' goal
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 13'
  • yellowcard Ivan Perisic 38'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 78'
World Cup
Jun 12, 2014 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Sao Paulo
  • Neymar 27' yellowcard
  • Neymar 29' goal
  • Neymar 71' goal
  • Luiz Gustavo 88' yellowcard
  • Oscar 90'+1' goal
  • goal Marcelo 11' (OG)
  • yellowcard Vedran Corluka 66'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 69'