Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Brazil win was 2-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.