Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Croatia win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Colombia has a probability of 34.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Colombia win is 1-0 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).