Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Croatia win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Belgium has a probability of 27.38% and a draw has a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Belgium win is 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).