Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Croatia win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw has a probability of 22.81% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (6.07%).