Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Costa Rica has a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a Costa Rica win it is 0-1 (5.91%).