Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).